Fig. 3

Left Histogram of results from solving of Gaussian variation of parameters equations based on the last viable TLE before the event and five TLEs for each fragment (except for the two which decayed within a few days of the event). Right True anomaly of Hitomi predicted using SGP4 based on the last viable TLE before for the event. Normal probability density functions are given from close approach analysis for event time and from Gaussian VoP analysis for event true anomaly. The dotted lines indicate the mean values from the normal probability density functions