Skip to main content
Earth, Planets and Space
Fig. 4 | Earth, Planets and Space

Fig. 4

From: Data assimilation for fault slip monitoring and short-term prediction of spatio-temporal evolution of slow slip events: application to the 2010 long-term slow slip event in the Bungo Channel, Japan

Fig. 4

Possible scenarios for future slip evolution. a Comparison of observed (black circles) and calculated (colored lines) time series, in the trench-perpendicular component at station 1059. These calculated time series are derived by varying a set of frictional parameters. The line colors correspond to posterior values calculated using the data in the DA period indicated by the black arrow in each subpanel. These posterior values are transformed to the form log10 (logp (m|d)) and then scaled to a range [0,1] within each subpanel. b Scaled posterior values as functions of the DA period in the horizontal axis and final displacement in 2011.5 shown in a in the vertical axis. The length of each horizontal black line corresponds to the scaled posterior values. Circles with warmer colors or longer horizontal lines correspond to scenarios with higher probabilities, while those with cooler colors or shorter lines indicate the scenarios with lower probabilities

Back to article page