Figure 4
From: Combining earthquake forecasts using differential probability gains
Three-month forecasts of EAST, EAST R , EEPAS, and EAST ∗EEPAS models. Three-month forecasts of the EAST (a), EAST R(b), EEPAS (c), and EAST ∗EEPAS (d) models for M≥4.95 earthquakes from April to June 2010 in northern Baja, California along the USA-Mexico border. Blue circles correspond to M≥4.95 earthquakes that occurred in this area during this period. For the EAST model the color map varies from zero to the maximum of the alarm function Ea 1 (Shebalin et al. 2011). For other models, the same color bar is used to represent the forecast rates of M≥4.95 earthquakes. Note the higher contrast for the EAST ∗EEPAS forecasts and the increase in event rate in zones where both the EAST R and EEPAS models have high event rates. Straight line is the USA-Mexico border.