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Fig. 2 | Earth, Planets and Space

Fig. 2

From: Statistical monitoring of aftershock sequences: a case study of the 2015 Mw7.8 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake

Fig. 2

Fit comparisons for seismicity based on the PDE catalog. Aftershock data of M ≥ 4.5 were obtained from the PDE catalog for the date May 13, 2015. Their empirical cumulative function and magnitudes are plotted versus the ordinary occurrence times (a, b, c) and the transformed time (d) in the horizontal axis. a Theoretical cumulative (red) curves of the fitted ETAS model for the target entire time interval from 0.0417 day (1 h) after the main shock until the M7.3 largest aftershock. b As in (a) except that the target interval is the earlier time interval, divided at the elapsed time of 1.7 days (vertical thin line) after the main shock. c As in (b) except that the target is the later time interval, after 1.7 days. d As (b) except for including transformed time in addition to the parabola for the 95 % confidence ranges of the extrapolated curve

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