|
μ
|
K
0
|
C
|
Α
|
P
|
K
M7.3
|
c
M7.3
|
P
M7.3
| ΔAIC |
---|
S2 ETAS | 0.0231 | 1.440 | 0.00301 | 1.353 | 1.222 | – | – | – | − 5.23 |
S2 Equation 2
| 0.0170 | 2.494 | 0.0196 | 1.586 | 1.301 | 0.130 | 0.153 | 1.391 |
S3 ETAS | 0.00561 | 5.381 | 0.0257 | 4.187 | 1.573 | – | – | – | + 2.51 |
S3 Equation 2
| 0.00531 | 5.072 | 0.0251 | 3.031 | 1.244 | 1.04 × 10−4
| 0.380 | 1.520 |
- The MLEs of the reference ETAS model and the ETAS model with triggering effect (Eq. (2)) are listed with the AIC differences between the two models