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Table 3 Evaluations of operational forecast results by DeFN from January 2019 to June 2020 with three verification metrics

From: Operational solar flare prediction model using Deep Flare Net

(a) ≥ M-class flare predictions
Probability threshold Accuracy TSS FAR HSS
 50% 0.99 0.24 0.97 0.06
 45% 0.98 0.24 0.97 0.05
 40% 0.98 0.48 0.94 0.10
(b) ≥ C-class flare predictions
Probability threshold Accuracy TSS FAR HSS
 50% 0.99 0.70 0.40 0.64
 45% 0.98 0.78 0.47 0.62
 40% 0.98 0.83 0.52 0.61