Fig. 5From: Time-independent forecast model for large crustal earthquakes in southwest Japan using GNSS dataComparison of cumulative moment/number between GNSS strain rates and all M ≥ 6 earthquakes (599–2020). Horizontal axis is the grid number in descending order of GNSS strain rates. Blue, red, and green lines indicate normalized moments converted from GNSS strain rates, normalized moments for all earthquakes, and the number of all earthquakes, respectively. Broken green and red lines indicate 95% confidence intervals of the non-correlation model. The moment and number are cumulative values from the first cell (e.g., the highest strain rate) to the corresponding cell, respectively. a VARI1 model, b VARI2 model, c VARI3 model, and d UNI3 modelBack to article page