Forecast of magnitude range | All events | M ≥ 5.5 | M ≥ 6.0 | M ≥ 6.5 | M ≥ 7.0 | M ≥ 7.5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of events | 131 | 129 | 114 | 57 | 25 | 3 |
(a) Uniform in inland Japan | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
(b) Non-homogeneous Poisson | − 7.8 | − 11.3 | − 15.7 | − 16.3 | − 12.4 | − 1.2 |
(c) HIST–ETAS–μK background | 32.9 | 28.1 | 24.0 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
(d) HIST–ETAS–5pa background | 36.7 | 31.8 | 29.4 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 1.6 |