Fig. 9From: Simulation of great earthquakes along the Nankai Trough: reproduction of event history, slip areas of the Showa Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes, heterogeneous slip-deficit rates, and long-term slow slip eventsSlip-deficit rates on the plate interface at a ~ 70, b 100, and c 130 years after the Nankai earthquake in S4428 (event 93) in our simulation. Solid and broken black lines indicate the 3.0 and 2.4 cm/y contours (standard error < 2.0 cm/y), respectively, of currently observed slip-deficit rates (Nishimura et al. 2018). Numbers at lower right indicate the elapsed time from the start of the simulation, the elapsed time from the previous earthquake, and the leading time to the next earthquakeBack to article page