Fig. 10From: Distribution of maximum earthquake magnitudes in future time intervals: application to the seismicity of Japan (1923–2007)Median (quantile Q q (τ) for q = 50%) of the distribution of the maximum magnitude over a future time interval τ, obtained by the GEV method, as a function of τ (years), together with the two accompanying quantiles 16% and 84% that correspond to the usual ±1 SD.Back to article page