Fig. 6From: Statistical forecasts and tests for small interplate repeating earthquakes along the Japan Trench(a) ROC curves for all probabilistic forecasts (i.e., 365 forecasts) produced by the three models in the trials of 2006–2007, 2008, and 2009. The black diagonal line indicates the forecasts by random distribution, the purple curve denotes those by the EXP model, the green curve denotes those by the LN-SST model, and the red curve denotes those by the LN-Bayes model.Back to article page