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Table 3 Calculated AIC for each model. The AIC values include the change point penalties calculated by Monte Carlo simulation. The number in brackets is change point penalty term. The lower number of each cell is AIC improvement, which is the difference of AIC for combined ETAS and boxcar models from the single ETAS model.

From: Statistic analysis of swarm activities around the Boso Peninsula, Japan: Slow slip events beneath Tokyo Bay?

 

Single

Combined

Boxcar

Exponential

Boso2002

1844.7 (0)

1807.3 (9.3)

1800.4 (0)

1799.7 (0)

 

0

−37.4

−44.3

−45.0

Boso2007

881.4(0)

822.8 (9.1)

814.1 (0)

823.0 (0)

 

0

−58.6

−67.3

−58.4

Tokyo2005

1012.0 (0)

1005.1 (24.7)

981.4(9.1)

984.2 (9.1)

 

0

−6.9

−30.6

−27.8