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Fig. 2 | Earth, Planets and Space

Fig. 2

From: Long term probability of a Magnitude 8 Kanto earthquake along the Sagami Trough, central Japan

Fig. 2

(a–d) Contour maps of log-likelihood values for the BPT model parameters. The cross indicates the position of the maximum likelihood values. The shaded zone indicates the range of model parameters used in estimating the long-term probability issued by the ERC: (a) for the sequence proposed by Ishibashi (1994), (b) Shishikura (2003), (c) Shimazaki et al. (2011b), (d) Weighted log-likelihood.

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