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Table 2 T/W-test results for the “All Japan” region. Numbers in the columns correspond to the numbered models in rows. Left arrows in gray cells indicate that the row model is more informative than the column model at 95% confidence level. No arrow in gray cells indicates not-significance.

From: CSEP Testing Center and the first results of the earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan

All Japan

        

Model

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1. HIST-ETAS7pa

2. MARFS

 

3. MARFSTA

  

4. HIST-ETAS5pa

   

5. RI10k

     

6. RI30k

      

7. RI100k

       

8. RI50k

       

9. Triple-S-Japan