CSEP Testing Center and the first results of the earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan

Earth, Planets and Space

Table 3 Same as in Table 1 for “Mainland”.

	L-test	N-test		M-test	S-test	Forecast number	Forec / Obs in number
Model	γ	δ₁	δ₂	κ	ζ	Forecast number
EEPAS	0.999	0.999	0.001	0.583	0.024	30.98	2.07
MARFS	0.361	0.271	0.810	0.809	0.235	12.45	0.83
MARFSTA	0.374	0.297	0.787	0.825	0.236	12.73	0.85
PPE	0.999	0.999	0.001	0.635	0.686	30.79	2.05
RI10k	0.683	0.770	0.312	0.767	0.027	17.68	1.18
RI30k	0.641	0.770	0.312	0.767	0.000	17.68	1.18
RI50k	0.685	0.770	0.312	0.775	0.001	17.68	1.18
RI100k	0.788	0.770	0.312	0.766	0.012	17.68	1.18
Triple-S-Japan	0.999	0.999	0.003	0.967	0.149	29.45	1.96
RANDOM	0.426	0.535	0.568	0.000	0.000	15.00	1.00