Skip to main content

Change of strain rate and seismicity in the Chubu district, central Japan, associated with a Tokai slow event

Abstract

We have evaluated temporal variation in strain rates in the Chubu and Kinki districts, central Japan, between 1997 and 2004 using continuous GPS data of GEONET. We found that strain rates throughout the southern part of Chubu district, including the Yoro fault and Nobi fault zone, have significantly deviated from the secular crustal deformation pattern since at least 2001. The results of an inversion procedure show that the strain rate change can be well explained by a slow slip beneath the Tokai area, suggesting that the Tokai slow event has significantly affected the crustal deformation not only in the Tokai area but also in an area located more than 100 km from the main slip area of the event. We also found that the seismicity rate has clearly decreased by approximately 50% around the Yoro fault since the latter half of 2000. The δCFF inferred from our Tokai slow slip model agrees with the observed reduction in seismicity. These results were interpreted as indicating that the seismicity, which has been decreasing for several years, is controlled by the reduction in the shear stressing-rate due to the Tokai slow slip.

References

  • Akaike, H., Likelihood and the Bayes procedure, in Bayesian Statistics, edited by J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley, and A. F. M. Smith, 143–166 pp., University Press, Valencia, Spain, 1980.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dieterich, J., A constitutive law for rate of earthquake production and its application to earthquake clustering, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 2601–2618, 1994.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Habermann, R. E., Teleseismic detection in the Aleutian Island Arc, J. Geophys. Res., 88, 5056–5064, 1983.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harris, R. A. and R. W. Simpson, Changes in static stress on southern California faults after the 1992 Landers earthquake, Nature, 360, 251–254, 1992.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hashimoto, M., Static Stress Changes Associated with the Kobe Earthquake: Calculation of Changes in Coulomb Failure Function and Comparison with Seismicity Change, J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, 48, 521–530, 1995 (in Japanese with English abstract). (Correction to “Static Stress Changes Associated with the Kobe Earthquake: Calculation of Changes in Coulomb Failure Function and Comparison with Seismicity Change”, J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, 50, 21–27, 1997.)

    Google Scholar 

  • Hashimoto, M., K. Onoue, F. Ohya, Y. Hoso, K. Segawa, K. Sato, and Y. Fujita, Crustal deformations in Kii peninsula associated with the SE off the Kii peninsula earthquake sequence of September 5, 2004 derived from dense GPS observations, Earth Planets Space, 57, 1–6, 2005.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ishida, M., Geometry and relative motion of the Philippine sea plate and Pacific plate beneath the Kanto-Tokai district, Japan, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 489–513, 1992.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jaume, S. C. and L. R. Sykes, Change in the state of stress on the southern San Andreas fault resulting from the California earthquake sequence of April to June 1992, Science, 258, 1325–1328, 1992.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kimata, F., K. Hirahara, N. Fujii, and H. Hirose, Repeated occurrence of slow slip events on the subducting plate interface in the Tokai region, central Japan, the focal region of the anticipated Tokai earthquake (M=8), EOS Trans. AGU Fall Meeting Suppl., 82, 2001.

  • Kobayashi, A. and A. Yoshida, Recurrence of the Tokai slow slip inferred from the tide gauge data at Maisaka, J. Geod. Soc. Jpn., 50, 209–212, 2004 (in Japanese with English abstract).

    Google Scholar 

  • Kobayashi, A., A. Yoshida, T. Yamamoto, and H. Takayama, Slow slip in the focal region of the anticipated Tokai earthquake following the seismo-volcanic event in the northern Izu Islands in 2000, Earth Planets Space, 57, 507–513, 2005.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Matsumura, S., Seismicity rate changes in the inferred locked zone of the Tokai region in the latter half of 1990’s, J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, 54, 449–463, 2002 (in Japanese with English abstract).

    Google Scholar 

  • Matsumura, S., Seismicity activity and its change beneath Lake Hamana in the Tokai region (Seismic activity change in the Tokai region: Part 3), J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, 58, 55–65, 2005 (in Japanese with English abstract).

    Google Scholar 

  • Miyoshi, T. and K. Ishibashi, Geometry of the seismic Philippine Sea slab beneath the region from Ise Bay to western Shikoku, southwest Japan, J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, 57, 139–152, 2004 (in Japanese with English abstract).

    Google Scholar 

  • Nishimura, T., S. Ozawa, M. Murakami, T. Sagiya, T. Tada, M. Kaidzu, and M. Ukawa, Crustal deformation caused by magma migration in the northern Izu Islands, Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 3745–3748, 2001.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Okada, Y., Surface deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a halfspace, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 75, 1135–1154, 1985.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ozawa, S., M. Murakami, M. Kaidzu, T. Tada, T. Sagiya, Y. Hatanaka, H. Yarai, and T. Nishimura, Detection and monitoring of ongoing aseismic slip in the Tokai region, central Japan, Science, 298, 1009–1012, 2002.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ozawa, S., S. Miyazaki, T. Nishimura, M. Murakami, M. Kaidzu, T. Imakiire, and X. Ji, Creep, dike intrusion, and magma chamber deflation model for the 2000 Miyake eruption and the Izu islands earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 109, doi:10.1029/2003JB002601, 2004.

  • Ozawa, S., M. Murakami, M. Kaidzu, and Y. Hatanaka, Transient crustal deformation in Tokai region, central Japan, until May 2004, Earth Planets Space, 57, 909–915, 2005.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reasenberg, P., Second-order moment of Central California seismicity, 1969–1982, J. Geophys. Res., 90, 5479–5495, 1985.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sagiya, T., S. Miyazaki, and T. Tada, Continuous GPS array and presentday crustal deformation of Japan, Pure. Appl. Geophys., 157, 2303–2322, 2000.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shen, Z., D. D. Jackson, and B. X. Ge, Crustal Deformation Across and Beyond the Los Angels Basin from Geodetic Measurements, J. Geophys. Res., 101, 27951–27980, 1996.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stein, R. S., The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence, Nature, 402, 605–609, 1999.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stein, R. S., G. C. P. King, and J. Lin, Change in failure stress on the southern San Andreas fault system caused by the 1992 magnitude=7.4 Landers earthquake, Science, 258, 1328–1332, 1992.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stein, R. S., G. C. P. King, and J. Lin, Stress triggering of the 1994 M=6.7 Northridge, California earthquake by its predecessors, Science, 265, 1432–1435, 1994.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Toda, S., R. S. Stein, P. A. Reasenberg, J. H. Dieterich, and A. Yoshida, Stress transferred by the 1995 Mw = 6.9 Kobe, Japan, shock: Effect on aftershocks and future earthquake probabilities, J. Geophys. Res., 103, 24543–24565, 1998.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Toda, S. and R. S. Stein, Response of the San Andreas fault to the 1983 Coalinga-Nuñez earthquake: An application of interactionbased probabilities for Parkfield, J. Geophys. Res., 107, doi: 10.1029/2001JB000172, 2002.

  • Toda, S., R. S. Stein, and T. Sagiya, Evidence from the AD 2000 Izu islands earthquake swarm that stressing rate governs seismicity, Nature, 419, 58–61, 2002.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wessel, P. and W. H. Smith, New, improved version of Generic Mapping Tools released, EOS Trans. Am. Geophys. Union, 79, 579, 1998.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yoshikawa, S., Space and time variation of strain promoted by the slow slip event in the Tokai area revealed by GPS data, Bull. Earthq. Res. Inst., 78, 255–267, 2003.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tomokazu Kobayashi.

Rights and permissions

Open Access  This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made.

The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder.

To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Kobayashi, T., Hashimoto, M. Change of strain rate and seismicity in the Chubu district, central Japan, associated with a Tokai slow event. Earth Planet Sp 59, 351–361 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1186/BF03352695

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/BF03352695

Key words