Fig. 7
Simulation results for various values of (A − B)3 in the small patch. a Group 1 with L 1 = L 2 = 0.0046 m and L 3 = 0.0021 m. b Group 2 with L 1 = L 2 = 0.0049 m and L 3 = 0.0024 m. The occurrence times are shown. Circles are seismic events, and solid ones show event B11 for each simulation. Triangles denote slow slip events, which have a maximum slip velocity of less than 1 cm/s. Filled triangles are used as data points in forecast experiments, whereas open triangles are not used because there are not a corresponding event in other sequences. Green circles represent an event occurring the day after event B1. Event B1 is an M6-class event, and the others have magnitudes in the range of M4.6–5.2