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Table 5 Forecast of event B12 using groups 1 and 2

From: Forecast experiment on the Kamaishi repeating earthquakes based on numerical simulations using friction law

Event

Num. of sequences

Tav (year)

Forecast spread (day)

Twt (year)

Forecast spread (day)

Mav

Forecast spread

B12

5

5.227

44.1

5.220

44.1

4.75

0.4

10

5.335

58

5.294

60

4.83

0.39

15

5.361

80.9

5.315

82.7

4.84

0.39

20

5.360

80.3

5.319

81.7

4.87

0.39