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Table 3 MAE statistics of various models (mas)

From: Analysis and prediction of polar motion using MSSA method

Lead day

Bulletin A

LM + MSSA(6) + ARMA

LM + MSSA(7) + ARMA

PMX

PMY

PMX

PMY

PMX

PMY

10

2.52

1.89

2.43

1.92

2.48

2.03

30

6.52

4.77

5.73

4.69

5.89

5.05

60

10.73

8.38

9.85

9.35

9.77

10.22

90

13.49

11.77

12.96

12.89

12.57

14.19

120

14.96

16.33

13.95

15.56

13.38

16.45

150

15.99

20.52

14.99

17.21

15.09

16.86

180

15.96

22.98

15.51

19.09

16.43

17.08

210

15.46

24.92

16.79

21.36

17.41

18.31

240

16.43

25.31

17.87

22.59

17.35

19.81

300

20.11

24.56

19.94

23.08

18.66

23.55

360

21.30

23.47

22.27

24.65

21.57

25.66