Fig. 18From: Strong ground motion simulations of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes using corrected empirical Green’s functions: methods and results for ESG6 blind prediction Steps 2 and 3 with improved parametersSensitivity of the prediction at KUMA to the rupture scenario. (Left) Blue and pink lines indicate the synthetic Fourier spectra of rupture scenarios that begin from the south or center (pink) and north (blue), respectively. Red solid and dashed lines indicate the average of all the rupture scenarios and the range of one standard deviation, respectively. The black line indicates the observed spectrum. (Right) Blue, pink, and red lines indicate the ratio of the lines of same type in the left panel to the observed spectrumBack to article page