Fig. 4

Local predictions of three different models in the Indian Ocean (\(-\)6.5\(^\circ\), 73\(^\circ\)), together with spatial and temporal distribution of the surrounding data. The upper right panel contains all records from the spatial distribution, while only data from a 500 km radius (depicted in orange in the top left panel) is shown together with the local predictions. The error bars reflect one standard deviation. Inclination and intensity are translated along the corresponding axial dipole (Merrill et al. 1996). 100 samples from the posterior ensemble are drawn as transparent lines in the background, to illustrate the model uncertainties