Rate/state Coulomb stress transfer model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast

Toda, Shinji; Enescu, Bogdan

doi:10.5047/eps.2011.01.004

Earth, Planets and Space

Table 1. List of earthquakes, and their source models, used for calculating coseismic Coulomb stress changes. M in the table header refers to the JMA magnitude. We basically consider large earthquakes (M ≥ 6.5) that occurred after 1923, which is the beginning year of the JMA earthquake catalog. However we include the source of the 1891 Nobi earthquake, which is historically the largest inland shock in Japan and widely impacted the regional seismicity, and a few destructive inland shocks slightly smaller than M 6.5. See more details in the text.

From: Rate/state Coulomb stress transfer model for the CSEP Japan seismicity forecast

ID	Year	Month	Day	Hour	Minute	Year (decimal)	M	Lon. (°)	Lat. (°)	Name	Fault model
1	1891	10	28	6	38	1891.82211	8.0	—	—	Nobi	Mikumo and Ando (1976)
2	1923	9	1	11	58	1923.66666	7.9	139.136	35.331	Kanto	Wald and Somerville (1995)
3	1925	5	23	11	9	1925.39005	6.8	134.835	35.563	Kita-Tajima	Empirical
4	1927	3	7	18	27	1927.18007	7.3	134.931	35.632	Kita-Tango	Matsu’ura (1977)
5	1930	11	26	4	2	1930.90121	7.3	138.974	35.043	Kita-Izu	Abe (1978)
6	1931	9	21	11	19	1931.72135	6.9	139.248	36.158	Nishi-Saitama	Abe (1974a)
7	1939	5	1	15	0	1939.33025	6.8	139.600	39.997	Oga	Yoshioka (1974)
8	1940	8	2	0	8	1940.58592	7.5	139.817	44.359	Shakotan Hanto Oki	Satake (1986)
9	1943	9	10	17	36	1943.69195	7.2	134.184	35.473	Tottori	Sato (1973)
10	1944	12	7	13	35	1944.93516	7.9	136.175	33.573	Tokankai	Satake (1993)
11	1945	1	13	3	38	1945.03327	6.8	137.114	34.703	Mikawa	Kikuchi et al. (2003)
12	1946	12	21	4	19	1946.96969	8.0	135.849	32.935	Nankai	Satake (1993)
13	1948	6	28	16	13	1948.49193	7.1	136.291	36.172	Fukui	Ichinose et al. (2005)
14	1961	8	19	14	33	1961.63137	7.0	136.700	36.112	Kita-Mino	Takeo (1990)
15	1962	4	30	11	26	1962.32711	6.5	141.138	38.740	Miyagi-ken-hokubu	Empirical
16	1963	3	27	6	34	1963.23347	6.9	135.792	35.815	Wakasa-wan	Abe (1974b)
17	1964	5	7	16	58	1964.34964	6.9	138.668	40.397	Ogahanto-oki	Fukao and Furumoto (1975)
18	1964	6	16	13	1	1964.45871	7.5	139.212	38.370	Niigata	Matsuhashi et al. (1987)
19	1969	9	9	14	15	1969.68883	6.6	137.067	35.783	Gifu-ken-chubu	Takeo (1990)
20	1974	5	9	8	33	1974.35142	6.9	138.800	34.567	Izu-hanto-oki	Takeo (1990)
21	1978	1	14	12	24	1978.03701	7.0	139.250	34.767	Izu-Oshima-kinkai	Okada (1978)
22	1978	6	12	17	14	1978.44550	7.4	142.167	38.150	Miyagi-ken-oki	Yamanaka and Kikuchi (2004)
23	1980	6	29	16	20	1980.49468	6.7	139.233	34.917	Izu-hanto-toho-oki	Takeo (1988)
24	1983	5	26	11	59	1983.39836	7.7	139.073	40.360	Nihonkai-chubu	Fukuyama and Irikura (1986)
25	1984	9	14	8	48	1984.70463	6.8	137.557	35.825	Nagano-ken-seibu	Takeo and Mikami (1987)
26	1993	2	7	22	27	1993.10386	6.6	137.297	37.657	Noto-hanto-oki	Empirical
27	1993	7	12	22	17	1993.52821	7.8	139.180	42.782	Hokkaido-nansei-oki	Tanioka et al. (1995)
28	1995	1	7	7	37	1995.01730	7.2	142.305	40.223	Sanriku-haruka	Empirical
29	1995	1	17	5	46	1995.04446	7.3	135.035	34.598	Hygoken-nanbu (Kobe)	Wald (1996)
30	1995	12	30	21	11	1995.99626	6.5	143.752	40.700	Aomori-ken-toho-oki	Empirical
31	1996	2	17	0	22	1996.12895	6.8	142.548	37.309	Fukushima-oki	Empirical
32	1996	10	19	23	44	1996.80216	6.9	132.008	31.799	Hyuganada	Yagi et al. (1998)
33	1996	12	3	7	17	1996.92349	6.7	131.680	31.770	Hyuganada	Yagi et al. (1998)
34	1997	3	26	17	31	1997.23198	6.6	130.359	31.973	Kagoshima-ken-hokuseibu	Horikawa (2001)
35	1997	5	13	14	38	1997.36170	6.4	130.303	31.948	Kagoshima-ken aftershock	Horikawa (2001)
36	1997	6	25	18	50	1997.48127	6.6	131.666	34.441	Yamaguchi-ken-hokubu	Ide (1999)
37	1999	1	24	9	37	1999.06407	6.6	131.290	30.569	Tanegashima	Empirical
38	2000	1	28	23	21	2000.07659	7.0	146.744	43.008	Nemuro-oki	Empirical
39	2000	7	1	23	21	2000.50012	6.5	139.194	34.190	Kozu-shima	Empirical
40	2000	7	30	21	25	2000.58013	6.5	139.411	33.971	Kozu-shima	Empirical
41	2000	10	6	13	30	2000.76540	7.3	133.349	35.274	Tottori-ken-seibu	Iwata and Sekiguchi (2002)
42	2001	3	24	15	27	2001.22627	6.7	132.694	34.132	Geiyo	Sekiguchi and Iwata (2002)
43	2003	5	26	18	24	2003.39909	7.1	141.651	38.821	Sanriku-Minami	GSI (2003)
44	2003	7	26	7	13	2003.56482	6.4	141.171	38.405	Miyagi-ken-hokubu	Hikima and Koketsu (2004)
45	2003	9	26	7	26	2003.73430	8.0	144.078	41.779	Tokachi-oki	Tanioka et al. (2004)
46	2003	9	29	11	36	2003.74328	6.5	144.553	42.360	Tokachi-oki aftershock	Empirical
47	2003	10	31	10	6	2003.83072	6.8	142.696	37.832	Fukushima-oki	Empirical
48	2004	5	30	5	56	2004.41135	6.7	141.859	34.108	—	Empirical
49	2004	9	5	19	7	2004.68117	7.1	136.798	33.033	Kii-hanto-oki	Empirical
50	2004	9	5	23	57	2004.68172	7.4	137.141	33.138	Kii-hanto-oki	Empirical
51	2004	9	7	8	29	2004.68993	6.5	137.293	33.209	Kii-hanto-oki	Empirical
52	2004	10	23	17	56	2004.81245	6.8	138.867	37.292	Chuetsu	Hikima and Koketsu (2005)
53	2004	10	23	18	34	2004.82257	6.1	138.930	37.306	Chuetsu aftershock	Hikima and Koketsu (2005)
54	2004	11	29	3	32	2004.91211	7.1	145.275	42.946	Nemuro	Empirical
55	2004	12	6	23	15	2004.93352	6.9	145.343	42.848	Nemuro aftershock	Empirical
56	2005	1	19	15	11	2005.05101	6.8	142.019	33.937	—	Empirical
57	2005	3	20	10	53	2005.21479	7.0	130.176	33.739	Fukuoka-ken-sehio-oki	Horikawa (2006)
58	2005	8	16	11	46	2005.62283	7.2	142.278	38.150	Miyagi-ken-oki	GSI (2005)
59	2005	11	15	6	38	2005.87139	7.2	144.945	38.027	Sanriku	Empirical
60	2005	12	2	22	13	2005.91971	6.6	142.353	38.073	Miyagi-oki	Empirical
61	2007	3	25	9	41	2007.22835	6.9	136.686	37.221	Noto Hanto	Awata et al. (2008)
62	2007	7	16	10	13	2007.53778	6.8	138.609	37.557	Chuetsu-oki	GSI (2007)
63	2008	5	8	1	45	2008.35064	7.0	141.608	36.228	Kashima-nada	Empirical
64	2008	6	14	8	43	2008.45274	7.2	140.881	39.030	Iwate-Miyagi nairiku	Takada et al. (2009)
65	2008	7	19	11	39	2008.54890	6.9	142.264	37.521	Fukushima-ken-oki	Empirical
66	2008	9	11	9	20	2008.69648	7.1	144.151	41.776	Tokachioki aftershock	Empirical
67	2008	12	20	19	29	2008.97142	6.6	142.700	36.531	Fukushima-ken-oki	Empirical

Back to article page