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# Fully dynamic earthquake sequence simulation of a fault in a viscoelastic medium using a spectral boundary integral equation method: does interseismic stress relaxation promote aseismic transients?

*Earth, Planets and Space*
**volume 71**, Article number: 137 (2019)

## Abstract

Along subduction interfaces or some major faults, a seismogenic layer in the upper crust is underlain by a zone of slow-slip events (SSEs) and tremors, and seismicity disappears at greater depths. The transition between seismogenic and aseismic behavior may be caused by changes in the frictional properties of the fault or changes in viscoelastic properties of the surrounding medium. Although aseismic transients have been numerically generated in previous studies by changing the frictional properties and compared to SSEs, the effect of viscoelasticity on the transition remains to be studied. In this study, we implemented interseismic viscoelastic stress relaxation in a simulation code for two-dimensional antiplane fully dynamic earthquake sequences in a uniform elastic material based on a spectral boundary integral equation method. In the implementation, we developed a suitable algorithm in which the viscoelastic relaxation is calculated by evolution of an “effective slip,” which gives viscoelastic stress change on the fault if convolved with a static Green’s function. We conducted parametric studies for a fault with a rate-weakening patch on two parameters: viscoelastic relaxation time \(t_{c}\) and characteristic length of the state evolution in the rate- and state-dependent friction law *L*. The behavior of the simulated fault can be classified into four classes, earthquakes (EQ), aseismic transients (AT), stable sliding (SS), and stuck (ST), in which the central part of the rate-weakening patch has a diminishingly small slip rate and is permanently locked. A phase diagram of the fault behavior shows that there are two different types of seismogenic–aseismic transition. As *L* increases, an EQ patch changes to an AT patch before becoming an SS patch, as has been reported in previous studies in an elastic limit. The boundary between AT and SS can be explained via linear stability analysis of a system composed of a spring, a dashpot, and sliders. As \(t_{c}\) decreases, the recurrence interval of the earthquakes diverges, and an EQ patch changes to an ST patch unless *L* is within a narrow range. Therefore, the transition associated with SSEs and tremors is dominated by changes in frictional properties rather than changes in viscoelastic properties.

## Introduction

Since the discovery of slow-slip events (SSEs; Hirose et al. 1999), various types of slow earthquakes have been discovered (e.g., Beroza and Ide 2011) and attracted researchers’ interests partly because of their potential relevance to the generation processes of devastating earthquakes (e.g., Obara and Kato 2016). They are slip phenomena (Hirose et al. 1999; Shelly et al. 2007; Ide et al. 2007) that show different frequency characteristics from ordinal seismic events, and often associated with the seismogenic–aseismic transition. For example, along the Nankai Trough subduction interfaces, a zone of megathrust earthquakes lies between zones of shallower very low-frequency events and deeper long-term SSEs and tremors (Figure 1 in Obara and Kato 2016). On the San Andreas fault, non-volcanic tremors (e.g., Shelly and Hardebeck 2010) and SSEs (Rousset et al. 2019) are observed beneath the seismogenic layer. No significant seismic event is recognized from the even deeper part of the fault. Extensive survey thus far and numerous discoveries of slow earthquakes may have been revealing that it is typical that a seismogenic–aseismic transition is accompanied by slow earthquakes along major faults.

There are several candidate factors responsible for the seismogenic–aseismic transition such as changes in temperature, pressure, fluid pressure, rock type, and so on. Among them, temperature is often considered as a dominant controlling factor (e.g., Chen and Molnar 1983; Hyndman and Wang 1993; Tanaka and Ishikawa 2002). Frictional instability requires rate-weakening friction (Ruina 1983), and the frictional rate-dependency is known to become negative within a restricted range of temperature [e.g., 50–300 °C for granite (Blanpied et al. 1991), 200–300 °C for gabbro (He et al. 2007), and 250–400 °C for pelitic subduction zone material (den Hartog et al. 2013), depending on other experimental conditions]. These temperature ranges are sometimes compared to that of the seismogenic layer (e.g., Scholz 1988). The seismic–aseismic transition numerically reproduced by changing the frictional rate-dependency is associated with repeating aseismic transients near the transition that can be compared to SSEs (e.g., Liu and Rice 2005). A rate-weakening patch produces aseismic transients if it is marginally larger than the critical length of the stability of the steady sliding (e.g., Kato 2003).

Another potentially important effect of temperature is activation of viscoelastic relaxation in the surrounding medium. In the first place, an earthquake releases elastic strain energy and radiates a part of it in the shape of a far-field seismic wave. It is conceivable that efficient relaxation of stress and aseismic release of the strain energy would suppress seismogenesis. Because brittle-plastic transition temperature is different for different rock-forming minerals, lithology may affect the seismogenic depth limit (Magistrale 2002; Hauksson and Meier 2019). Allison and Dunham (2018) simulated a sequence of earthquakes on a strike–slip fault governed by the rate- and state-dependent friction law with depth-variable rate dependency embedded in a power law viscoelastic material. In their simulation with the warmest geothermal gradient in their conditions (30 K/km, their Fig. 7d), a part of the fault within the lower crust and mantle virtually did not slip because of a weaker surrounding medium than the frictional interface. Notably, the simulated fault by Allison and Dunham (2018) is rate-strengthening within the lower crust and thus cannot produce frictional instability there, while the non-volcanic tremor along the San Andreas fault is observed exactly within this depth range (Figure 1 in Veedu and Barbot 2016). It may be important to consider how a rate-weakening patch interacts with the surrounding viscoelastic medium to understand the generation process of slow earthquakes and the nature of the seismogenic–aseismic transition.

As temperature increases with depth, the properties of the frictional interface and the surrounding medium simultaneously change. A question addressed in the present study was which of the two is more important. In laboratory experiments of stick–slip using Maxwell viscoelastic material, changes in the statistics of event size (Yamaguchi et al. 2009) and a decrease in the event magnitude (Namiki et al. 2014) with decreasing loading rate were reported. An experiment with a slower loading rate can be interpreted as a case with a shorter nondimensional relaxation time, and thus can be considered to represent a deeper condition. But the frictional property (e.g., rate-dependency) of the experimentally simulated fault may well change with the loading rate, as reported in many studies of rocks (e.g., Dieterich 1978; Shimamoto 1986; Kawamoto and Shimamoto 1997). Therefore, it is not necessarily clear whether frictional property or viscoelastic relaxation plays the central role in the laboratory observation.

In the present study, we aim to separate these two effects and elucidate the effect of viscoelastic relaxation on the behavior of a rate-weakening patch by conducting numerical simulations of a fault embedded in a uniform Maxwell viscoelastic medium. There are previous studies dealing with more sophisticated geometry and flow law (e.g., Kato 2002; Lambert and Barbot 2016; Zhang and Sagiya 2018; Allison and Dunham 2018). In those studies, inertial effects were only partly incorporated, and simulations were designed to capture large crustal-scale behavior. Our target is the seismogenic–aseismic transition of a rate-weakening patch which may be much smaller than the depth. Inertial effects are essential to study this transition; quasistatic or quasidynamic approximation (Rice 1993) could cause underestimation of maximum slip rate and recurrence interval of the events (Lapusta and Liu 2009). To map out a parametric space, a large number of simulations are required. For a planar fault in an elastic medium, the spectral boundary integral equation method (SBIEM) developed by Lapusta et al. (2000) is one of the fastest methods for simulation of fully dynamic earthquake sequences. We propose here a new algorithm of the implementation of interseismic viscoelastic relaxation in the elastic simulation using the SBIEM. This implementation does not require significant additional memory or computational cost.

In this paper, “Methodology” section is devoted to an explanation of the methodology. We first briefly review the elastic earthquake sequence simulation using the SBIEM in “The SBIEM for an elastic medium” section and then the newly developed implementation of viscoelastic relaxation is explained in “Implementation of the viscoelastic effect” section. The model setting and design of the parametric study are described in “Model setting” and “Parametric study for relaxation time and frictional properties” sections, respectively. The simulation results are summarized in “Results” section. Based on the results, we discuss whether viscoelastic relaxation promotes aseismic transients or not, in “Does the viscoelastic effect promote aseismic transients?” section. The boundary between steady sliding and repeating aseismic transients in the parametric space is explained via a simple spring–slider–dashpot mode in “Linear stability analysis of a spring–slider–dashpot model” section. The dependency of the fault behavior on the initial condition is discussed in “Dependency on initial conditions” section. Finally, the conclusions of this study are presented in “Conclusions” section.

## Methodology

### The SBIEM for an elastic medium

The purpose of the present study was to elucidate the seismogenic–aseismic transition of a rate-weakening patch embedded in a viscoelastic medium. To avoid additional complexity, we placed our focus on a geometrically simple two-dimensional antiplane problem with a planar fault embedded in a uniform Maxwell viscoelastic medium. For a planar fault embedded in an elastic medium, the SBIEM developed by Lapusta et al. (2000) is one of the fastest methods that makes use of the Fast Fourier Transformation technique. We implemented the interseismic stress relaxation in this method using a memory variable (e.g., Ruina 1983). In this section, we briefly review the structure of the SBIEM in the elastic case. Then, we explain our implementation of the viscoelastic effect in the following section.

We consider a planer fault with a rate-weakening patch surrounded by a rate-strengthening region (Fig. 1). A Cartesian coordinate system is set such that the fault plane is \(y = 0\) and the displacement is in the \(z\)-direction. In the antiplane problem, we do not have to consider all components of the displacement vector and the stress tensor among \(u_{i}\) and \(\sigma_{ij}\), where \(i\) and \(j\) are \(x\), \(y\), or \(z\). We abbreviate the components that matter as

where \(t\) is time. Note that the variables are independent of \(z\). The slip \(\delta \left( {x,t} \right)\), slip rate \(V\left( {x,t} \right)\), and shear traction \(\tau \left( {x,t} \right)\) on the fault are written as

where the dot represents the partial derivative with respect to \(t\).

In a boundary integral equation method, \(\tau\) is expressed as (e.g., Lapusta et al. 2000)

where \(\tau_{0}\) is the shear traction on the fault without any slip and \(\phi \left[ V \right]\) the convolutional term representing the stress change resulting from the previous fault motion. The last term of Eq. (6) is termed the radiation dumping effect (Rice 1993), which is an instantaneous response between \(V\) and \(\tau\) resulting from acoustic impedance of the S-wave, and explicitly extracted from the convolution. \(\phi \left[ V \right]\) is composed of two terms, the elastostatic stress change \(\phi_{st}^{\text{EL}}\) and difference from it \(\phi_{\text{dyn}}\),

Note that \(\phi_{st}^{\text{EL}} \left[ \delta \right]\) is a functional of the current slip distribution and \(\phi_{\text{dyn}} \left[ V \right]\) a functional of the spatio-temporal distribution of the previous slip rate. As the contribution of slip rate at a certain previous time to \(\phi_{\text{dyn}}\) diminishes as \(t\) increases, we can truncate the temporal integral for \(\phi_{\text{dyn}}\) and carry on simulations over multiple earthquakes with restricted memory available for storage of history (e.g., Lapusta et al. 2000).

In a spectral method, the functional terms are calculated in the wavenumber domain as

where \(k\) is the wavenumber in the \(x\)-direction, \({\mathcal{F}}\left[ {} \right]\) the Fourier transformation, \(t_{\text{w}}\) the time window for inertial effects, \(C_{D}\) the integration kernel for the dynamic term, and \(D\) and \(\dot{D}\) are Fourier transforms of \(\delta\) and \(V\), respectively. For the expression of \(C_{D}\), see Lapusta et al. (2000).

An SBIEM for dynamic rupture simulations in a linear viscoelastic medium has been developed by Geubelle (1997). In the problems of our interest, however, the viscoelastic relaxation time \(t_{c}\) of the medium (rock) is much larger than the coseismic timescale. Therefore, we safely ignore the viscoelastic effect in \(\varPhi_{\text{dyn}}\) and maintain Eq. (8) unchanged. We modify Eq. (9) to consider interseismic stress relaxation.

### Implementation of the viscoelastic effect

In antiplane problems, the constitutive equations of an elastic material and a Maxwell viscoelastic material are represented as

and

respectively, where “\(,i\)” represents the spatial partial derivative in the \(i\)-direction and \(t_{c}\) is the relaxation time.

Taking Laplace transformation with respect to time, we obtain for the elastic case

and for the viscoelastic case,

where

The tildes represent Laplace transformation and \(s\) is the Laplace variable. The similarity of Eqs. (12) and (13) is referred to as the correspondence principle of linear viscoelasticity.

The Laplace transformation of Eq. (9) is simply

Owing to the correspondence principle, the viscoelastic version of this term can be written in an analogous form

Taking the inverse Laplace transformation, we obtain the time-domain expression of the viscoelastic quasistatic stress change in a Maxwell material resulting from the previous slip rate as

This expression involves temporal convolution and we shall not calculate this directly. In the SBIEM, history storage is a limiting factor given the restricted amount of numerical resources. We store the slip rate history within the time window \(t_{\text{w}}\) to capture inertial effects during earthquakes; additional history storage for interseismic stress relaxation significantly affects the maximum affordable spatial resolution.

Instead of evaluating Eq. (17) by conducting a numerical integral, we reformulate it in a derivative form. If we define a memory variable,

then Eq. (17) is written as

\(D_{\text{eff}}\) provides the viscoelastic quasistatic stress change in the wavenumber domain if multiplied by the elastic static kernel \(- \mu \left| k \right|/2\). In this sense, \(D_{\text{eff}}\) can be termed a Fourier transformation of the effective slip. The time-derivative of Eq. (18) yields

We would like to point out that the memory variable formulation was used in formulating a rate- and state-dependent friction law by Ruina (1983) when re-formulating an integral representing decaying memory to a derivative equation of a state variable. We can obtain the integration of Eq. (20) every timestep for a negligible numerical cost; because we calculate \(\dot{D}\) in the elastic case, no additional calculation of Fourier transformation is needed. In numerical simulations described in a following section, we explicitly update \(D^{\text{eff}}\) when updating \(\delta\). For more details regarding the numerical algorithm, please see Noda and Lapusta (2010).

### Model setting

Figure 1 shows the model setting investigated in this study. A planar fault is embedded in a Maxwell viscoelastic infinite medium with the shear wave speed \(c_{\text{s}} = 3000\) m/s, the shear modulus \(\mu = 30\) GPa, and the viscoelastic relaxation time \(t_{c}\) which varies in a parametric study. We place a rate-weakening patch of width \(2R\) using a smoothed boxcar function (e.g., Noda and Lapusta 2010) and set periodic boundaries every \(4.096R\) (1024 grid points) in the \(x\)-direction. The origin is at the center of the rate-weakening patch

Our selection of scales of speed and stress is typical for rocks. However, selection of the length scale requires more consideration. We investigate a simple model and consider an infinite medium. This means that \(R\) must be much smaller than the depth of the patch in natural conditions for the analysis to be applicable. For a larger patch, our analysis may be applicable only qualitatively or additional physics may come into play. Along the San Andreas fault, non-volcanic tremors occur within a depth range about 20–30 km (Shelly and Hardebeck 2010). Then, we select a length scale \(2R = 1\) km for a presentational purpose. Notably, the system can be scaled in length and time by multiplying the same factor while maintaining the scale of speed and stress. If our analysis is to be applied to a smaller patch of \(2R = 100\) m, then one must multiply a factor of \(0.1\) to the physical properties of the dimensions of length and time, such as the length scale in the friction law, viscoelastic relaxation time \(t_{c}\), and recurrence interval of the event \(t_{\text{rec}}\).

For the friction law, we adopt the arcsinh-regularized rate-and-state friction (RSF) law (Rice et al. 2001) with the aging law for the state evolution

where \(f\) is the friction coefficient, \(\theta\) is the state variable, \(\sigma\) is the normal stress on the fault, \(a\) and \(b\) are nondimensional parameters representing the amount of direct and evolution effects, respectively, \(L\) is the state evolution slip distance, and \(f_{0}\) is the reference friction coefficient at a reference slip rate \(V_{\text{pl}}\). We use \(\sigma = 100\) MPa, \(f_{0} = 0.6\), and \(V_{\text{pl}} = 10^{ - 9}\) m/s, and vary \(L\) in a parametric study. The distributions of \(a\) and \(b\) are shown in Fig. 2. In the rate-weakening patch, \(a/b = 0.8\).

Inertial effects are not important as long as \(V\) is small, but are significant when \(V\) is large. The radiation damping effect becomes comparable to the direct effect in the rate- and state-dependent friction law when \(V \approx V_{\text{dyn}} = 2c_{\text{s}} a\sigma /\mu = 0.4\) m/s; thus, it significantly affects the solution at a slightly smaller \(V\) than \(V_{\text{dyn}}\). We define earthquakes by a threshold value in the slip rate at \(0.1\) m/s.

The system is driven by far-field loading \(\tau_{0} = 60\) MPa so that there is a uniform steady-state solution at \(V = V_{\text{pl}}\). The numerical experiment in this study is designed to investigate how stability of the steady-state solution changes as the viscoelastic relaxation becomes efficient.

It must be noted that short relaxation time \(t_{c}\) would cause low stress level on a fault in natural situation, and thus decreasing \(t_{c}\) with keeping \(\tau_{0}\) may not be realistic. For a smaller value of \(\tau_{0}\), a uniform steady-state solution at much smaller slip rate \(V_{\text{pl}}^{'} \ll V_{\text{pl}}\) exists if \(f_{0}\) is appropriately distributed in such a way that \(\tau_{0}\) corresponds with steady-state frictional resistance at \(V_{\text{pl}}^{'}\). The qualitative behavior of such a system including changes in the stability is essentially the same in a quasistatic limit, although the timescale changes.

We add initial perturbation to the state variable \(\theta\) as

where \(V_{\text{ini}} = 0.999V_{\text{pl}}\) unless otherwise noted. In addition to uniform perturbation, we set a small gradient to break the symmetry under the initial condition.

### Parametric study for relaxation time and frictional properties

To observe the effect of viscoelastic stress relaxation on the behavior of a rate-weakening patch of various brittleness, we conducted parametric studies on two parameters: state-evolution slip distance \(L\) and viscoelastic relaxation time \(t_{c}\).

Let us introduce nondimensional representation of the two parameters to examine the system behavior independent of its length scale. For a fault governed by the aging law in an elastic medium, nucleation size \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}}\) is given by (Rubin and Ampuero 2005)

for a relatively large \(a/b\) in earthquake sequence simulations (e.g., Noda and Hori 2014). A rate-weakening patch in an elastic medium produces repeating seismic events if \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} \ll R\), aseismic transients if \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} \sim R\), and steady sliding if \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} \ll R\) (Kato 2003; Liu and Rice 2007; Chen and Lapusta 2009). In a following section, we present the results of the parametric study as a function of \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\), which is proportional to \(L\). Notably, the nucleation size (Eq. 24) is in the case with an elastic medium, and viscoelasticity may affect the nucleation size.

The viscoelastic relaxation time \(t_{c}\) is nondimensionalized by a characteristic time scale of loading to the rate-weakening patch \(t_{\text{load}}\), which we define as

This is a timescale during which loading to the patch due to creep motion outside becomes significant with respect to the frictional direct effect. With \(2R = 1\) km, \(t_{\text{load}} = 6.67 \times 10^{7}\) s.

The parametric study was conducted on the two nondimensional parameters \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) and \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}}\) by changing \(L\) and \(t_{c}\). In the two-dimensional parametric study, we examine \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) from \(0.172\) to \(1.91\) and \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}}\) from \(0.946\) to \(2.37\). The rectangular area in the parametric space is divided by a \(50 \times 50\) mesh and we ran \(2500\) earthquake sequence simulations at the grid points. In addition, we ran a series of elastic simulations for reference which correspond to \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}} = \infty\). In each simulation used to map out the two-dimensional parametric space, we calculated the fault behavior until the 10th earthquake or \(t = 200\) years (\(= 94.6 t_{\text{load}}\)).

## Results

### Elastic case for reference

Here, we show the system behavior of the elastic cases for reference. The range of \(v\) investigated captures the seismogenic–aseismic transition. With a relatively small value of \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\), the rate-weakening patch produces repeating earthquakes as shown in Fig. 3a. Note that the horizontal discontinuities shown in Fig. 3a represent earthquakes and nucleation occurs in a creeping part of the rate-weakening patch. A case is classified as “EQ” if the maximum slip rate in the latter half of the simulation exceeds \(0.1\) m/s. As \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) increases, the maximum slip rate decreases. Even if it becomes smaller than \(0.1\) m/s, and thus inertial effects are not important compared with the frictional direct effect, transient slip events repeatedly occur (Fig. 3b). A case is classified as “AT” if the small initial perturbation grows and if the case is not classified as EQ. With an even larger value of \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\), a steady-state solution becomes linearly stable (Fig. 3c). A case is classified as “SS” if the initial perturbation decays toward the steady sliding. As mentioned before, this type of transition has been reported in many previous studies.

Based on these simulations, we define the recurrence interval \(t_{\text{rec}}\) and the maximum slip rate \(V_{ \text{max} }\) in the following manner. We output a timeseries of the spatially maximum value of \(V\) in each simulation. Then, we obtained at most ten local maxima in the time series corresponding to earthquakes and defined \(t_{\text{rec}}\) as the average of the intervals between them if there were more than three earthquakes. Although a spin-up period is included, we the standard deviation of the intervals is no more than 0.1% of \(t_{\text{rec}}\). \(V_{ \text{max} }\) is defined as the maximum value of \(V\) during the latter one-half of the simulations to avoid the effect of initial perturbation.

### Viscoelastic effects on earthquake sequence

#### Transition without aseismic transients

Figure 4 shows a typical example of the seismogenic–aseismic transition resulting from a decrease in \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}}\) while maintaining \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) constant at 0.4. Figure 4a shows an elastic case (\(t_{c} = \infty\)), which is identical to the case plotted in Fig. 3a. This case is EQ, and the recurrence interval \(t_{\text{rec}}\) is \(7.15\) years (\(= 3.38 t_{\text{load}}\)). With decreasing \(t_{c}\), the recurrence interval increases (Fig. 4b). Interseismic propagation of creep fronts into the rate-weakening patch is slower than that in the elastic case such that it takes longer for the creeping part of the fault to host nucleation of an earthquake. As \(t_{c}\) further decreases, the recurrence interval becomes longer than the simulated time (Fig. 4c). In such cases, the slip rate at the center of the rate-weakening patch diminishes with time following a power law. The rate-weakening patch seems to be stuck. A case is classified as “ST” if the region of very small slip rate (\(V < 10^{ - 11}\) m/s) is increasing at the end of the simulation.

Figure 5 shows the recurrence interval \(t_{\text{rec}}\) as a function of \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}}\) with \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R = 0.35\). The increase in \(t_{\text{rec}}\) as \(t_{c}\) decreases can be fit very well by a function

where \(\alpha\), \(\beta\), and \(\widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}}\) are fitting parameters, as recognized by a slope of \(- 1\) in a log–log plot (Fig. 5b). Here, \(\widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}}\) is a critical nondimensional relaxation time. In the case plotted in Fig. 5, we obtained the optimum parameters such \(\alpha = \left( {26.3 \pm 0.1} \right)\) year, \(\beta = \left( {72.8 \pm 0.4} \right)\) year, and \(\widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}} = 1.5182 \pm 0.0002\). If \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}} \le \widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}}\), we expect that no earthquake would occur, however, long we might simulate; the rate-weakening patch is permanently stuck. There is no range of \(t_{c}\) for AT along this line in the parametric space.

#### Two-dimensional parametric study

Distribution of \(V_{ \text{max} }\) in the parametric space of \(\left( {t_{c} /t_{\text{load}} , R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R} \right)\) is shown in Fig. 6, as well as the boundaries between the four behavioral classes: EQ, AT, SS, and ST. An EQ patch produces repeating earthquakes during which \(V_{ \text{max} }\) is greater than \(0.1\) m/s and inertial effects become important. With increasing \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\), \(V_{ \text{max} }\) sharply decreases from approximately \(V_{\text{dyn}}\), but sustained oscillation occurs while \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R \approx 1\). This is the region for AT. With further increasing \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\), the amplitude of the sustained oscillation decreases, and the patch finally produces decaying oscillation toward SS. These three behavioral types have already been reported in the previous studies (e.g., Kato 2003; Liu and Rice 2007; Chen and Lapusta 2009) in elastic cases. Here, we have confirmed that they also exist in viscoelastic cases. In addition, we discovered that the rate-weakening patch becomes permanently stuck (ST) when \(t_{c}\) decreases from the EQ regime unless \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) is within a rather narrow range greater than \(0.9\).

There are two types of seismogenic–aseismic transitions. One is the transition from EQ to SS via AT. This is the case for both elastic and viscoelastic cases with increasing \(L\) and can be realized by decreasing \(t_{c}\) if \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) is carefully selected near 1. The other type of transition is from EQ to ST without associated AT. In this transition, the recurrence interval of the earthquakes increases and diverges at a critical value of \(t_{c}\), as demonstrated in the previous section.

The yellow dashed line shown in Fig. 6 represents the nondimensional critical relaxation time \(\widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}}\) estimated for each value of \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\). \(\widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}}\) seems to depend nearly linearly on \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) and the line is cut by the boundary of an AT regime.

## Discussion

### Does the viscoelastic effect promote aseismic transients?

In the phase diagram, the seismogenic limit of the nondimensional relaxation time \(\widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}}\) is of the order of 1. The corresponding dimensional relaxation time is \(t_{c} \approx 10^{8}\) s for \(2R = 1\) km. A typical value for the viscosity of the lower crust is approximately \(10^{19}\) Pa s (e.g., Thatcher et al. 1980) and \(\mu = 30\) GPa leads to \(t_{c} \approx 3 \times 10^{8}\) s. Nonlinear rheology may contribute to shorten the effective relaxation time for transient deformation. Therefore, the simulated range of \(t_{c}\) may be relevant to natural conditions and thus we believe that viscoelastic relaxation may play an important role in seismogenic–aseismic transition. For a smaller rate-weakening patch, \(t_{\text{load}}\) is smaller and thus \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}}\) is larger if \(t_{c}\) is fixed. Viscoelastic relaxation is less important for a smaller patch. Therefore, the viscoelastic effect may affect statistics of the size of earthquakes near the seismogenic–aseismic transition by reducing the number of large earthquakes (Yamaguchi et al. 2009; Namiki et al. 2014). It may not, however, promote generation of AT.

As shown in Fig. 6, we found two types of seismogenic–aseismic transitions. With increasing \(L\), the transition from EQ to SS via AT occurs, similar to elastic cases. With decreasing \(t_{c}\), however, the transition from EQ to ST occurs without AT unless \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) is fine-tuned near 1. Because an earthquake rupture typically shows significantly smaller early-stage rupture than the final size of the earthquake (e.g., Uchide and Ide 2010), the \(R_{c}^{EL} /R\) of natural seismogenic patches cannot be near 1. Then, the change in \(t_{c}\) alone cannot explain the transition associated with AT. Changes in frictional properties seem to be required to generate aseismic transients near the transition.

The higher and lower limits of \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R\) of the regime of AT both decrease as \(t_{c}\) decreases, with their difference decreasing. Thus, a range of \(L\) for AT eventually narrows as the viscoelastic stress relaxation becomes efficient. In this sense, the viscoelastic effect suppresses generation of aseismic transients.

### Linear stability analysis of a spring–slider–dashpot model

To explain the boundary between AT and SS as shown in Fig. 6, we conducted a linear stability analysis of a simplified spring–slider–dashpot model as shown in Fig. 7. Two sliders of the same area represent the rate-weakening patch and surrounding rate-strengthening part of the fault. They are connected by a Maxwell spring–dashpot element with stiffness \(k\) (stress/length) and relaxation time \(t_{c}\) which support stress of \(\xi\). The system is driven by far-field loading \(\tau_{0}\) subjected to both sliders. Then, the shear stress supported by the two sliders can be written as

For simplicity, we use a logarithmic rate- and state-dependent friction law in the aging law formulation (Dieterich 1979; Ruina 1983)

where \(i = 1\) for the rate-weakening slider and \(i = 2\) is for the rate-strengthening slider. The frictional properties are taken consistently with the continuum model, \(a_{1} = a_{2} = 0.02\), \(b_{1} = 0.025\), and \(b_{2} = 0\) (see Fig. 2); thus, we have only one state variable \(\theta = \theta_{1}\). By solving Eqs. (27) and (28) for \(V_{i}\), we can obtain expressions of \(V_{1} \left( {\xi ,\theta_{1} } \right)\) and \(V_{2} \left( {\xi } \right)\).

The change in \(\xi\) due to the deformation of the spring and the dashpot is

Then, we can obtain the time-derivative of a two-dimensional variable \(\left( {\xi , \theta_{1} } \right)\) as

At the steady state, \(\xi = 0\), \(\theta_{1} = L /V_{\text{pl}}\), and \(V_{1} = V_{2} = V_{\text{pl}}\). By linearizing Eq. (31) around it, and searching for a condition under which the real part of the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix becomes zero (Hopf bifurcation), we obtained a critical stiffness for linear stability as

This is consistent with the well-known expression of the critical stiffness for a spring–slider model \(\sigma \left( {b_{1} - a_{1} } \right)/L\) (Ruina 1983) at a limit of both \(a_{2}\) and \(t_{c} \to \infty\). Note that block \(\# 2\) steadily slides at the limit of \(a_{2} \to \infty\), providing a constant load-point velocity to block \(\# 1\).

To compare this simplified model to the continuum model we simulated, we introduce a geometrical factor \(\gamma\) such that \(k = \gamma \mu /2R\). Then, the critical condition \(k = k_{\text{crit}}\) yields the critical value of the state evolution slip distance \(L_{\text{crit}}\) as a function of \(t_{c}\), by solving (32) for \(L\)

where

To evaluate the geometrical factor \(\gamma\), we estimate \(L_{\text{crit}}^{\text{EL}}\) from the boundary between AT and SS in the elastic case which separates the decaying oscillation and asymptotically growing oscillation at the end of simulations. We obtained \(L_{\text{crit}}^{\text{EL}} = 0.086\) m which corresponds to \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R = 1.64\) and thus \(\gamma = 0.97\). This estimation of \(\gamma\) close to 1 may imply the plausibility of the simplified model.

Substituting \(L_{\text{crit}} \left( {t_{c} } \right)\) for \(L\) in Eq. (24), we can predict the linear stability boundary in the two-dimensional parametric space as

This is indicated by an orange dashed line in Fig. 6 and consistent with the boundary between SS and AT.

### Dependency on initial conditions

In drawing the phase diagram (Fig. 6), we used a small initial perturbation to the steady-state solution. We found that the amplitude of the perturbation matters. Figure 8 shows three simulation results with \(R_{c}^{\text{EL}} /R = 1\) and \(t_{c} /t_{\text{load}} = 1.5\) under different initial conditions, \(V_{\text{ini}} = 0.2V_{\text{pl}}\), \(0.02V_{\text{pl}}\), and \(0.005V_{\text{pl}}\) (Eq. 23) from left to right. At \(V_{\text{ini}} = 0.2V_{\text{pl}}\) (Fig. 8a), the initial perturbation is sufficiently small that the system falls to the same limit cycle (AT) as that of \(V_{\text{ini}} = 0.999V_{\text{pl}}\). At \(V_{\text{ini}} = 0.02V_{\text{pl}}\) (Fig. 8b), however, the central part of the rate-weakening patch becomes permanently stuck. With an even smaller value of \(V_{\text{ini}}\), the stuck part of the rate-weakening patch is larger (Fig. 8c).

The trajectories of \(\left( {V,\tau } \right)\) at \(x = 0\) in these three cases are plotted in Fig. 9. Immediately after beginning of the simulations, \(\tau\) increases because \(V_{\text{ini}}\) is smaller than the slip rate outside the patch \(V_{\text{pl}}\). If the trajectory crosses the frictional steady-state dependency \(\tau = \sigma f_{\text{ss}} \left( V \right)\) (dashed line in Fig. 9), then the state variable \(\theta\) decreases and the trajectory can extend in the right-bottom direction in Fig. 9. The efficient stress relaxation weakens the elastic loading to the rate-weakening patch. If the trajectory fails to reach \(\tau = \sigma f_{\text{ss}} \left( V \right)\), \(\theta\) has to keep increasing and the trajectory tends to extend to the left (deceleration). The semi-horizontal part of the trajectories in the permanently stuck cases is similar to a horizontal trajectory in a creep test for a rate-weakening slider (Dieterich 1981).

Figure 10 shows a distribution of \(V_{ \text{max} }\) similar to that of Fig. 6, but with a different initial condition \(V_{\text{ini}} = 0.56V_{\text{pl}}\). The same phase boundaries as in Fig. 6 are shown for comparison in black. The yellow dashed line in Fig. 10 is \(\widetilde{t}_{\text{cr}}\) estimated by Eq. (26) for the cases with \(V_{\text{ini}} = 0.56V_{\text{pl}}\) and agrees well with that plotted in Fig. 6. Large initial perturbation [i.e., long distance between the initial point and the uniform steady-state solution in the phase space (Fig. 9)] expands the region for ST. In earthquake sequence simulations in an elastic medium, the system typically spins up to a limit cycle and selection of initial conditions is not very important. Our result implies that selection of initial conditions may matter in dealing with a viscoelastic system.

## Conclusions

We implemented interseismic viscoelastic stress relaxation to a dynamic earthquake sequence simulation with a spectral boundary integral equation method by developing a new memory variable formulation in the wavenumber domain. Although the method is restricted to geometrically simple problems, the additional computational cost is negligible such that the code is suitable for mass simulations in parametric studies of simple problems.

To investigate whether the seismogenic–aseismic transition accompanied by SSEs is caused by a change in the frictional property or off-fault material properties, we conducted a parametric study of two parameters: relaxation time \(t_{c}\) and frictional state-evolution slip distance \(L\). We discovered that there were two different types of seismogenic–aseismic transitions. One is the transition from EQ to SS via generation of aseismic transients AT. This mainly occurs because of the change in the frictional property. The other is from EQ to ST associated with divergence of the recurrence interval, which is caused by a decrease in \(t_{c}\) unless \(L\) is within a narrow range. The EQ–SS transition is accompanied by AT, while AT is absent in the EQ–ST transition. Therefore, it is difficult to explain the generation of SSEs by the decrease in \(t_{c}\). The boundary between AT and SS was quantitatively explained by a linear stability analysis using a spring–slider–dashpot model. The range of \(L\) for AT decreases with decreasing \(t_{c}\), which suggests that viscoelastic relaxation suppresses generation of AT. We also found that for the viscoelastic case the simulated fault behavior depends on the initial perturbation added to the system. A large perturbation results in the rate-weakening patch being stuck even though a stable attractor (SS or AT) exists.

## Availability of data and materials

We do not use any observation data in the present study. Simulation code is given by Nadia Lapusta in Caltech, and the authors do not have a right to make it open to public.

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## Acknowledgements

We thank members of Research Center of Earthquake Prediction, Kyoto University for meaningful discussions.

## Funding

This study is supported by MEXT KAKENHI Grant Number 26109007, JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 19K04038, and by the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) of Japan, under its Earthquake and Volcano Hazards Observation and Research Program.

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HN developed the new algorithm and designed the problem setting. YM coded the new method and carried out the parameter study. Both authors contributed in interpretation of the results, discussions, and composing the manuscript. Both authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Miyake, Y., Noda, H. Fully dynamic earthquake sequence simulation of a fault in a viscoelastic medium using a spectral boundary integral equation method: does interseismic stress relaxation promote aseismic transients?.
*Earth Planets Space* **71**, 137 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-019-1113-8

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-019-1113-8