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Table 1. A summary of parameters used for the forecasting experiment.

From: Next-day earthquake forecasts for the Japan region generated by the ETAS model

Earthquake catalog JMA catalog from 1 January 1965
Historical catalog None
Polygon region for model fitting (128.93, 33.54), (130.43, 29.91), (134.75, 33.18), (140.57, 34.36), (143.39, 40.35), (147.43, 43.62), (145.92, 45.00), (140.38, 45.00), (136.44, 43.89), (134.1, 38.17), (131.09, 35.54), (127.52, 33.91)
Magnitude threshold 4.0
Bandwidths for estimating background rates n p = 4, 𝝐 = 0.1
Bandwidths for smoothing forecast 0.3
Training period 0–10,500 days from 1 January 1965
Model fitting period 10,500 to 14,712 days from 1 January 1965