Table 1. A summary of parameters used for the forecasting experiment.
From: Next-day earthquake forecasts for the Japan region generated by the ETAS model
Earthquake catalog | JMA catalog from 1 January 1965 |
Historical catalog | None |
Polygon region for model fitting | (128.93, 33.54), (130.43, 29.91), (134.75, 33.18), (140.57, 34.36), (143.39, 40.35), (147.43, 43.62), (145.92, 45.00), (140.38, 45.00), (136.44, 43.89), (134.1, 38.17), (131.09, 35.54), (127.52, 33.91) |
Magnitude threshold | 4.0 |
Bandwidths for estimating background rates | n p = 4, 𝝐 = 0.1 |
Bandwidths for smoothing forecast | 0.3 |
Training period | 0–10,500 days from 1 January 1965 |
Model fitting period | 10,500 to 14,712 days from 1 January 1965 |