Nearly complete stress drop in the 2011 Mw 9.0 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake
© The Society of Geomagnetism and Earth, Planetary and Space Sciences (SGEPSS); The Seismological Society of Japan; The Volcanological Society of Japan; The Geodetic Society of Japan; The Japanese Society for Planetary Sciences; TERRAPUB. 2011
Received: 25 April 2011
Accepted: 3 June 2011
Published: 27 September 2011
Temporal change in the stress field after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake was observed by stress tensor inversions of focal mechanisms of earthquakes near the source region. The maximum compressive stress (σ1) axis before the earthquake has a direction toward the plate convergence, dipping oceanward at an angle of 25–30 degrees. Its dip angle significantly increased by 30–35 degrees after the earthquake, and σ1 axis came to intersect with the plate interface at a high angle of about 80 degrees. By using the observed rotation of σ1 axis, we estimated the ratio of mainshock stress drop to the background deviatoric stress Δτ/τ to be 0.9–0.95. This shows that the deviatoric stress causing the Mw 9.0 earthquake was mostly released by the earthquake, or the stress drop during the earthquake was nearly complete. Adopting the average stress drop obtained by GPS observation data, the deviatoric stress magnitude is estimated to be 21–22 MPa. This suggests the plate interface is weak. The nearly complete stress drop caused a high dip angle of σ1 axis, which is the reason why not a small number of normal fault type aftershocks have occurred.
Key words2011 Tohoku earthquake NE Japan subduction zone deviatoric stress magnitude weak fault
It is particularly important for the mitigation of earthquake hazards to understand why such a great earthquake as the 2011 Tohoku earthquake with magnitude 9.0 did occur along the plate boundary east off northeastern Japan, since the occurrence of a M 9 class earthquake there was not predicted in the long-term evaluation of earthquake occurrence in Japan by the Japanese government (Earthquake Research Committee, Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion, http://www.jishin.go.jp/main/index-e.html). Stress acting on the plate boundary which caused this earthquake is one of basic information for this purpose. It is important to know how large the shear stress is to cause earthquake rupture and how much portion of that stress is released by it. Of particular interest is whether the shear stress is nearly completely released by such a great earthquake which ruptured a half or two thirds of the entire main thrust zone east of northeastern Japan at once. However, estimation of magnitude of the shear stress acting on faults at depths prior to large earthquakes remains the subject of controversy.
2. Data and Method
We used focal mechanism data of earthquakes that occurred near the plate interface in the aftershock area of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake before and after its occurrence. Focal mechanisms used are those determined by moment tensor inversions of F-net data of the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED) (http://www.bosai.go.jp/e/index.html). The data period is from 1997 to April 6, 2011, thus including earthquake data both before and after the Tohoku earthquake. Earthquakes with Mw larger than 4.0 and variance reductions better than 70% that occurred within 12.5 km from the plate interface both above and below it are selected. The value of 12.5 km was chosen in order to generate a data set for events near the plate interface. A somewhat different distance, for example, 20 km or so, does not change the results significantly. The geometry of the subducting Pacific plate used is that estimated by Nakajima et al. (2009).
3. Temporal Change of the Stress Field
Stress tensor inversion results for the period before the 2011 Tohoku mainshock are shown for region A in Fig. 2(b) and for B in Fig. 2(d). Similarly, results for the period after the mainshock are shown in Figs. 3(b) and (d). In these stress tensor inversions, we assume that events occur along fault planes having various strikes and dips, and slip occurs in a direction of shear stress on those planes. Thus we consider some events occur on the plate interface but others occur off the plate interface. Comparison of Fig. 2 with Fig. 3 shows a clear change in dip angle of σ1 axis: both in A and B regions it is about 25–30 degrees during the pre-mainshock period, whereas it increased to about 60 degrees after the mainshock.
Inversion results for the periods of 1997 –2004, May 2000–May 2007, and 2004–March 10 2011 give similar orientation of the principal stresses to that for the period of 1997–March 10 2011, though not shown here. All these period data show that the dip angle of σ1 axis is 25 –30 degrees, which suggests that it did not change significantly through the time at least for about the 14-year period before the Tohoku earthquake.
4. Stress Magnitude, Fault Strength and Pore Pressure Ratio
Estimated rotation angle, ratio of stress drop to background deviatoric stress, fault strength and pore pressure ratio.
A (N part of source area)
21(20 –22) MPa
B (S part of source area)
22(20 –44) MPa
The average stress drop estimated from a slip model of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake based on GPS data is about 20 MPa (Iinuma et al., 2011). Adopting this value as the mainshock stress drop Δτ, the deviatoric stress magnitude τ can be estimated to be ~21–22 MPa. This is nearly one order of magnitude less than the strength predicted by laboratory experiments for 10–50 km depths of the mainshock fault plane, suggesting that the plate interface in this depth range is weak.
Three types of models have been proposed for such weak faults (Hardebeck and Hauksson, 2001): existence of over-pressured fluids on the fault (Rice, 1992; Sibson, 1992); existence of weak fault zone materials, although most of the candidate minerals tested by laboratory measurements were excluded (Morrow et al., 1992; Moore et al., 1996); and dynamic weakening of faults (Heaton, 1990). Presence of elevated pore-fluid pressure along the shallow plate boundary zone is most likely, since the oceanic plate contains abundant volume of aqueous fluids in its uppermost sedimental layer and the crust before its subduction.
If we assume the weak fault is caused by the overpres-sured fluids, then pore pressure ratio λ. = P f /σ n on the plate interface can be estimated from the Coulomb failure criterion τ = c + μ(1 — λ)σ n , where τ is shear stress, c cohesion, μ friction coefficient, σ n normal stress and P f pore fluid pressure. Adopting c = 0, μ = 0.6 and σ n = 610 MPa which is the lithostatic pressure at the average depth of the mainshock fault plane, we obtain λ. = ~0.94. Estimated value and acceptable range of λ for regions A and B are given in Table 1. Average values of pore pressure ratio on the plate interface in several subduction zones in the world were estimated by Seno (2009) from the force balance between shear stress at the plate interface and the lithostatic pressure in the forearc wedge. The results show λ = ~0.95– 0.98 for the plate boundary east off Tohoku, which is almost consistent with our estimation.
As shown in Figs. 3(b) and (d), the dip angle of σ1 axis became as high as 57.5–60 degrees after the Tohoku earthquake both for regions A and B. This high dip angle of σ1 axis indicates that the original stress field of the thrust-fault type near the plate interface changed to that rather close to normal-fault type due to the occurrence of the Tohoku earthquake. Not only low-angle thrust-fault type aftershocks similar to the mainshock focal mechanism but also a significant number of normal-fault type aftershocks occurred in the case of the Tohoku earthquake (e.g., Asano et al., 2011; Hirose et al., 2011). This is caused by the nearly complete stress drop in the Tohoku earthquake demonstrated by the present study.
In Section 3, we assumed that the average dip angle of the plate interface is 20 degrees, since it varies from about 10 to 30 degrees. We further assumed that the stress field is uniform in the whole area of region A and that of region B, both of which include both the shallower and deeper portions of the main thrust zone with shallow and steep plate dips, respectively. This is because we attempted to extract information on a change of the average stress field for a wide area such as region A or region B, and the lateral variation of the stress change in the focal area of the mainshock, which perhaps exists, is beyond the scope of the present study.
The stress field in such a wide area as region A or B may not be sufficiently uniform. For example, the stress field around the edge of the mainshock fault plane possibly becomes heterogeneous to some extent. Actually, it seems that focal mechanisms of events in the Pacific plate at a distance of about 150 km in Fig. 1(b) show some scatters of P-axis directions. More detailed investigations including the lateral variations of the stress field are left for future studies.
We estimated the stress field near the fault plane of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake by inverting focal mechanisms of earthquakes. Comparison of the estimated stress fields before and after the earthquake shows a rotation of σ1 axis after the mainshock. The σ1 axis intersects with the plate interface at an angle of 45–50 degrees before the earthquake. This angle became to ~80 degrees after the earthquake. The ratio of the mainshock stress drop to the background deviatoric stress Δτ/τ was estimated to be 0.9–0.95 from the observed 30–35 degree rotation of σ1 axis. Adopting the average stress drop of ~20 MPa estimated from GPS data, we obtain the background deviatoric stress magnitude to be ~21–22 MPa. The present observations indicate that the background deviatoric stress which caused the 2011 earthquake is mostly released, and that the deviatoric stress magnitude is low, of the order of a few tens of MPa, suggesting that the plate interface is weak. Assuming that this weak fault is caused by overpressured fluids, pore pressure ratio on the plate interface is estimated to be ~0.94.
We used focal mechanism data from the F-net seismic moment tensor catalogue provided by the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention. Thoughtful comments from Y. Iio and G. Ekstrom significantly improved the manuscript. This work was supported in part by the Global COE Program, “Global Education and Research Center for Earth and Planetary Dynamics” at Tohoku University, and the Scientific Research Program on Innovative Areas, the “Geofluids: Nature and Dynamics of Fluids in Subduction Zones” at Tokyo Institute of Technology.
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