Examples of onset of ESF with and without ST
This section presents examples of the different types of ESF onsets observed with and without ST. Figure 1 shows a sequence of ionograms on the night of 6/7 October 2008. The ionogram at 19:20 IST did not show ST or ESF. By 19:30 IST, the F trace was doubled below the critical frequency (or satellite trace appeared just above the 1F trace) and continued until 19:40 IST without ESF. Around 19:50 IST, ESF started and became intense with time. It is based on this type of observations that ST (or LSWS) is believed to play a key role in the generation of ESF.
However, on some occasions ST is not observed before the onset of ESF. Figure 2 shows such an example on the night of 7/8 August 2008. As shown, ESF got initiated at 21:00 IST without prior ST and developed into intense spreading afterwards. It may be argued that ST could have appeared during the few minutes before the ESF onset at 21:00 IST, the verification of which requires observations at closer than 5-min intervals.
Figure 3 shows another interesting example of ESF without ST. On the night of 24/25 June, the F trace disappeared by about 22:40 IST, but the ESF appeared at 00:20 IST and persisted for a while. Nevertheless, the ESF on such cases is generally weak similar to the golden patches observed at 00:20 IST and 00:40 IST in Figure 3. The lack of F region trace seems to indicate that the background ionosphere decayed to the extent that it was not detected by the ionosonde. However, plasma irregularities containing clusters of electron density regions would have drifted into the field of view of the ionosonde giving rise to the observed ESF without the F region trace. This suggestion is further supported by the observation that the virtual height of the irregularity patch increases in the later ionograms (compare the ionograms at 00:20 IST and 00:40 IST). This increase in the virtual height may be due to the increase in the range of the irregularities that are drifting away from the overhead ionosphere horizontally as reported by Calvert and Cohen ([1961]).
The suggestion is illustrated schematically in Figure 4. Assuming that the irregularities drift horizontally at nearly the same altitude, the range and hence the estimated virtual height are higher when the irregularities are in the off-zenith than when they are overhead. The irregularities in Figure 3 therefore appear to drift horizontally as reported earlier (Calvert and Cohen [1961]; Lynn et al. [2011], [2013]; Fagundes et al. [2012]). The simple algebraic equations shown in the schematic (Figure 4) can be used to estimate the approximate zonal drift speed. Recently, Lynn et al. ([2013]) used this technique to estimate the drift speed of the irregularities from the ionograms and showed that they coincide with the movement of plasma bubbles observed in airglow images. The ionograms alone, however, cannot indicate whether the drift is eastward or westward unless the reception is made with direction-finding capability. However, the drift is generally assumed eastward because plasma bubbles usually drift eastwards (e.g., Chapagain et al. [2013]).
Figure 5 shows an example of the zonal drifting of ESF irregularities on the night of 19/20 November 2008. A small patch of ESF appeared at 22:35 IST around 350-km height range in the ionograms, and the patch occurred at the frequencies that are well above the critical frequency of the background ionosphere. The F region trace was unperturbed and clear with a base height at approximately 225 km. In the subsequent ionograms, the ESF patch got intensified, approached the F region trace, and fully covered it by about 23:15 IST. Afterwards, the ESF patch was seen to rise slightly in its range until 23:40 IST. The observation can be explained by assuming eastward drifting plasma bubbles (Calvert and Cohen [1961]). Initially during 22:35 IST to 23:15 IST, the irregularities entered the ionosonde beam from the west and moved towards the zenith with an estimated drift speed of approximately 110 m/s, and they continued to drift eastward with a speed of approximately 75 m/s. The speeds are within the limit of the drift speeds reported earlier (e.g., Chapagain et al. [2013]) and they show a reduction in magnitude with time.
When the patch of ESF was first seen at 22:35 IST in Figure 5, it was situated between 6- and 7-MHz frequencies while the critical frequency of overhead ionosphere was around 5.5 MHz (see Figure 5). As the ESF patch moved to the overhead sky and continued to approach the 1F trace, its maximum frequency did not decrease but rather stayed nearly stable at approximately 7 MHz. This illustrates that the maximum frequency within the spread F is dependent on the electron densities in the region of irregularities and it does not decrease like the virtual range when the irregularities move towards the overhead sky. In a uniformly stratified ionosphere (within the area covered by ionosonde beam), the electron content can increase in oblique ray paths, but the electron densities will be the same as that for a vertical incidence ray path. Since the plasma frequency is proportional to the electron density, oblique reflections do not show any pseudo enhancement or reduction in the plasma frequency.
However, since plasma density depletions correspond to ESF irregularities, the frequencies of ESF echoes are not expected to be higher than the critical frequency of the F region ionosphere. Recently, Abdu et al. ([2012]) discussed the mechanisms of radio wave echoes due to ESF irregularities and concluded that a significant portion arises out of coherent backscattering perpendicular to the magnetic field lines in addition to the total reflections. On the other hand, previous studies indicate that total reflection mechanism explains the observed ionogram patterns even during ESF times (King [1970]; Wright et al. [1996]). Further, earlier studies have shown the existence of enhanced electron density regions known as plasma blobs often situated around the electron density depletions (Le et al. [2003]; Park et al. [2003]; Pimenta et al. [2004]). Since ionosonde beam covers a large area, such enhanced electron density regions, if present between adjacent depletions, will also be noticed in the ionograms. We believe that the ESF reflections at frequencies higher than the critical frequency of overhead ionosphere might be due to the presence of plasma blobs in between adjacent plasma depletions hosting the electron density irregularities.
ESF usually starts as range type that turns into frequency type (Rastogi [1977]; Sastri et al. [1979]; Abdu et al. [1981]). However, a reverse sequence of development was also observed as illustrated in Figure 6. The spread started near the critical frequency at approximately 23:35 IST on 29/30 April 2008 and subsequently covered the whole 1F trace. It appears that such events also correspond to the drifting plasma bubbles. The maximum electron density surrounding the plasma depletions in such cases might be close to that of the peak electron density of the unperturbed background ionosphere. Therefore, such irregularities may be devoid of any plasma blobs around them. In such a case when the ESF irregularities drift from off-zenith locations, the spread will be seen at higher virtual height ranges close to the critical frequency region and will occupy the whole F region trace when they reach the overhead ionosphere.
Example of ST without ESF
The examples shown above illustrated the development of ESF with or without ST. Recently, Abdu et al. ([2014]) studied the relationship between the ST and ESF using the digisonde measurements over the dip equator and two magnetically conjugate locations in the Brazilian sector. In their study, STs were observed prior to the onset of ESF over the dip equator, and later, STs were detected in the conjugate sites nearly simultaneously prior to the occurrence of ESF. With such observations during 66 days of solar maximum period, Abdu et al. ([2014]) suggested that ST might represent early phase of evolution of ESF. However, studies by Narayanan et al. ([2012]) and Li et al. ([2012]) have shown cases in which STs were not followed by ESF. The following example illustrates such an observation.
Figure 7 shows an example of ST without the subsequent generation of ESF at the dip equator on 7/8 February 2009. It can be seen that ST was observed for about 30 min (21:15 IST to 21:40 IST) and no ESF occurred subsequently. As mentioned in the ‘Background’ section, we may consider ST as a manifestation of dynamically tilted pattern in the bottomside F region which will be the likely seed perturbation for triggering ESF. However, in the case shown in Figure 7, such a seed was present, but plasma irregularities did not develop. That might be because the background conditions were not conducive.
Other signatures of LSWS
Apart from ST, another ionogram signature conceived to be associated with LSWS is the multi-reflected echoes (or MRE) that appear as highly tilted traces in the ionograms (Tsunoda [2012]; Thampi et al. [2012]). Such traces result from the higher order multiple reflections between the ionosphere and ground, which was observed on only one night in our data set as shown in Figure 8a (corresponding to the observations of 5/6 January 2009). MREs were rare probably because of the smaller power of the higher order reflections (typically seventh- or eighth-order reflections) which might be below the sensitivity level of the instrument. Figure 8b,c shows examples of what are called ‘fork traces’ (FT) which are branching of the F trace near the critical frequency. Figure 8b,c was obtained respectively on 27/28 June 2008 and 20/21 September 2008. Such traces were frequently observed by Lyon et al. ([1961]) along with ST before the formation of ESF. In our data, FT was observed on 30 nights of which 22 nights showed ST as well. In the remaining eight nights, four nights showed the formation of ESF. The purpose of showing MRE and FT (Figure 8) is to indicate that they are probably other signatures of LSWS. However, since they are infrequent, we discuss the statistics based only on ST.
Pseudo ST
Before proceeding to the statistics, we would like to mention about ‘pseudo STs’ which are not STs but often observed in the presence of intense sporadic E (ES) layers. Mixed reflections occur at times when ES layers are present as described in Piggott and Rawer ([1978]) and termed as ‘M reflections’. They arise due to the combination of multiple reflections between the ionospheric F layer, ES layer, and ground. Figure 9 shows sample ionograms obtained on 7/8 July 2008 illustrating ‘pseudo STs’ caused by mixed reflections. The examples indicate that all traces situated between the 1F and 2F traces are not ST. We have taken enough care that such pseudo STs are not counted as STs in the statistical analysis.
Statistics of ST and ESF
STs were often observed in more than one ionogram at 5-min intervals. All ST occurrences within 2 h are considered as one ST event. The ST signatures separated in excess of 2 h are considered as separate ST events. Similarly, we presume that the ST and ESF are related only if the ESF is observed within 2 h of the last observation of ST. If the time gap was more than 2 h, the ST and ESF are considered to be unrelated. Time gap of up to 2 h seems sufficient for the LSWS to trigger ESF.
In addition to the abovementioned criteria, we consider only those STs occurring near the 1F trace and well below the 2F trace. To study the role of LSWS on the generation of ESF, the STs are first identified and those ESFs that follow the STs are identified next. This makes the statistics more robust. Further, we consider only clear STs that are not affected by a spread. Sometimes, STs are observed with a spread (Lynn et al. [2013]) which indicates the presence of ESF irregularities at off-zenith locations probably approaching the zenith of the observation site as discussed earlier (refer to Figure 5). The presence of ST without any spread indicates bottomside tilts associated with LSWS, as mentioned above. In this study, we make an attempt to understand the role of such tilts and how often do they lead to the formation of ESF.
With the above selection criteria, we have observed 122 ST events on the whole of which 86 events (70%) were followed by ESF. A total of 166 ESF events were observed indicating that 52% of the ESF events were formed after the occurrence of ST. Figure 10a shows the seasonal occurrence rate of ESF and ST during the extended solar minimum period considered herein. The periods March to April 2008, May to August 2008, September to October 2008, and November 2008 to February 2009 are considered as (northern hemisphere) spring equinox, summer, fall equinox, and winter, respectively. The ESF occurrence percentages were maximum during fall equinox and minimum during spring equinox in the extended solar minimum period considered herein. This pattern is different from the usual equinox maxima for the occurrences of ESF in the Indian sector reported earlier (Sastri et al. [1979]; Sripathi et al. [2011]). The occurrence pattern of STs was also similar to that of ESF with maximum during fall equinox and minimum during spring equinox. However, the number of ST occurrence is less than the number of ESF occurrence revealing that ESF are not always preceded by ST. The absence of ST cannot be taken as an evidence for the absence of LSWS because ST is one of the signatures of LSWS and it is not necessary that the presence of LSWS should always be recorded as ST. Further, since the ionograms are acquired in discrete time steps, ST signatures will be missed if they occur between two successive transmissions. Indeed, this is the reason for observing ST more frequently when ionograms are acquired at closely spaced time intervals. The presence of ST thus indicates the existence of LSWS, while its absence does not preclude LSWS. Therefore, we will focus our discussion on the occurrences of ST and the formation of ESF following ST. By this, we attempt to identify how often LSWS signatures lead to the formation of ESF.
Figure 10b shows the seasonal occurrences of ESF and ST along with the number of events in which ESF followed ST. The percentage occurrences of ESF following ST was small during spring equinox (58%) and winter (66%) compared to other seasons (76% and 75% during fall equinox and summer, respectively). This pattern is similar to the occurrence rates of ESF and ST separately. Further, the observations are separated into three time bins corresponding to 18 to 22 IST, 22 to 02 IST, and 02 to 06 IST as shown in Figure 10c. A significant number of ST occurrences are observed later in the night indicating that LSWS does not always occur around the post-sunset vertical motions associated with PRE. Figure 10c shows that the percentage of ESF following the ST increases with time. This indicates that LSWS plays comparatively a greater role in triggering ESF later in time when the ionosphere is less dense. It may be seen from Figure 10c that the number of events was very less during 02 to 06 IST. This observation would have instrumental bias in that the F region electron density is very much reduced resulting in smaller foF2 values below the lower frequency limit of the ionosonde.
As mentioned above, 70% of events show the formation of ESF after the occurrence of ST indicating that it is an important parameter in the generation of ESF. For considering ST as a precursor of ESF, it is important to understand how early ST appears before ESF onset. An average time delay between ST events and ESF is obtained here. Figure 11a shows the duration of ST events with IST. If ST is noticed in only one ionogram, its duration is represented as 0 min. If ST occurs in more number of ionograms (at 5-min intervals), the duration is taken as the time difference between the last and first occurrences. Figure 11a reveals that the average ST duration was about 25 min. The median value of 15 min indicates that the ST in general lasted for approximately 15 min.
Figure 11b shows the time delays (i) between the first occurrence of ST and the first occurrence of ESF (red dots) and (ii) between the last occurrence of ST and the first occurrence of ESF (black dots). On the average, the ESF occurred about 44 min after the first occurrence of ST, with a median value of approximately 30 min. This implies that ST can be used as a potential precursor signature, with an average warning time of 30 min. Our results (Figure 11b) indicate that on about half of the cases ESF was observed immediately following the last occurrence of ST, while there is a time delay between the last occurrence of ST and the formation of ESF in the remaining cases.
It may be rightly argued that the formation of ESF also depends on several other parameters such as PRE. Recent satellite observations show that the vertical drift due to PRE is generally absent at satellite altitudes during the extended solar minimum period of the present study (Stoneback et al. [2011]). A detailed investigation on the intensity of PRE (if present), altitudes, and electron density gradients in the bottomside ionosphere is underway. Preliminary results relevant to the days with the occurrence of STs are discussed in the next section.
Role of PRE on the days with ST
We found that all cases of ST observations do not lead to the formation of ESF, which may be due to unfavorable background conditions. PRE is an important background condition for ESF onset. Here, we analyze the altitude of 3-MHz reflections and the corresponding vertical drifts during 18 to 22 IST for the nights when ST occurred before 22 IST. Figure 12a,b shows the virtual height of the 3-MHz reflections and the corresponding vertical drift estimated as rate of change of 3-MHz reflections, respectively, for the nights when there were STs before 22 IST but no ESF afterwards. As shown in Figure 12a, on most of the days, the altitude did not reveal the typical rise associated with PRE. The upward vertical drift (Figure 12b) was mostly less than 10 m/s and underwent positive/negative fluctuations, indicating the presence of oscillations in the bottomside ionosphere. Hence, no clear evidence seems to exist for strong PRE on these days.
Figure 13a,b is similar to Figure 12a,b, but for days when ST occurrence before 22 IST was followed by ESF. Surprisingly, the results are similar to the previous case (Figure 12) in which the signatures of PRE were absent on majority of the nights. Vertical drifts displayed in Figure 13b also indicate the existence of oscillatory features rather than persistent upward drifts. Both Figures 12 and 13 indicate that the PRE control on ESF was insignificant in the Indian sector during extended solar minimum period (or very low solar activity conditions). In the absence of PRE, other background conditions such as bottomside density gradients may be important, which we plan to take up in future studies. The oscillations found in the bottomside ionosphere indicate that the existence of strong seed perturbations themselves may be sufficient for the onset and maintenance of bottomside ESF, which need detailed investigations.
